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future_fabulators:new_approaches_and_needs_in_foresight [2014-11-29 13:41] – created nik | future_fabulators:new_approaches_and_needs_in_foresight [2014-12-10 18:57] (current) – nik | ||
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(workshop at FTA 2014 - 27 NOV 2014) | (workshop at FTA 2014 - 27 NOV 2014) | ||
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+ | short summary workshop "New approaches in FTA / foresight" | ||
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+ | ===New Approaches=== | ||
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+ | {{>http:// | ||
+ | FoAM on [[http:// | ||
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+ | 4 major clusters: | ||
+ | - IT-based / " | ||
+ | - Integrated qualitative-quantitative approaches. Few examples, debated how far foresight should go - should never succumb to the traditional numbers dominance | ||
+ | - Open and Crowdsourced | ||
+ | * Lots of potential also in terms of who funds foresight and how - crowdfunding possibilities e.g. for regional / community foresight | ||
+ | * Quite widespread in terms of open approaches | ||
+ | - New forms of communication: | ||
+ | * Here, we had the most real " | ||
+ | * Major potential for improving the impact / establishing new routes to engagement | ||
+ | * Further Trends / Tendencies: Impacts Assessment; Focus on Pre-Foresight-Phase (Conceptualization); | ||
+ | * new application fields also emerging, e.g. society-wide foresight, e.g. with kids; or foresight for therapy, … | ||
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+ | New or Unmet Needs in Foresight | ||
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+ | Where are new needs? | ||
+ | * Needs in Innovation Field are expanding | ||
+ | * Also in corporate foresight | ||
+ | * Health / social systems | ||
+ | * “Political” Foresight | ||
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+ | Need for Shared Theoretical Background / Futures Literacy / practical principles | ||
+ | * Shared language / vocabulary | ||
+ | * Prove / exemplify impacts | ||
+ | * Practitioners being clear about values | ||
+ | * Need for more value-based approaches | ||
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+ | ===Tools and Skills Needs=== | ||
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+ | {{> | ||
+ | FoAM on [[http:// | ||
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+ | * Open Toolkits / Prototypes | ||
+ | * Take into account emotions and experience | ||
+ | * Use of narratives / storytelling; | ||
+ | * Integrate diversity of input (“overflow” effect) | ||
+ | * Selling power needed | ||
+ | * Bridge need for reflecting complexity and smart / emotional communication means | ||
+ | * Speed - can we provide instant gratification in foresight? | ||
+ | * Need for skills in change management / changing of cultures (in organizations) | ||
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+ | Lots of room for improvement in realm of implementing results / link to decision-making | ||
+ | * Improve impacts by analysing power / timing issues (right person / right time) | ||
+ | * Clarify objectives; Increase acceptance of outputs; give meaning to results | ||
+ | * Create link to implementation / strategy (top-down or bottom-up? | ||
+ | * Create demand for citizens | ||
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+ | ===Foresight 2030 === | ||
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+ | {{> | ||
+ | FoAM on [[http:// | ||
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+ | * Many alternative scenarios possible | ||
+ | * Threat of " | ||
+ | * Opportunity for larger-scale roll-out if being clear on what it can and can't do, relies on clearly demonstrated benefits | ||
+ | * Foresight as an everyday tool: low cost and easily accessible tools for the everyday user - personal fore-sighting | ||
+ | * Professional foresight becomes more about framing, sense making and narrative - as scanning becomes more automated | ||
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+ | Who pays for foresight in 2030? Alongside a traditional commissioning model by corporations and governments, | ||
+ | * Foresight becomes part of developing resilience, adapting to change and facilitating behavioral shifts and changing culture | ||
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+ | Overall insight, across all 3 groups / topics: New approaches are developing rapidly, especially from working with / overlaps with approaches from other disciplines. The (partly normative) discussion in the community is still missing on which new approaches to push where and for what specific purpose, or where / how to also " | ||
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- | {{> | ||
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